No Budget ever
goes by without the routine expression of outrage over “subsidies”. At times,
the focus is on food subsidy; this year, it was on petroleum – despite the
likelihood of the National Food Security Bill (NFSB) coming into effect in
2012-13.
Do the fiscal hawks believe that the NFSB may
not roll out in a hurry? A sum of Rs 75,000 crore set aside for food subsidy in
2012-13, which is higher by Rs 15,000 crore over the Budget estimates for
2011-12, but just about Rs 3,000 crore more than the revised estimates for this
year. The Finance Minister did say in his Budget speech that the hike was on account
of NFSB, but the law may take time in coming.
ECONOMISTS' SUGGESTION
Meanwhile, economists have suggested that the
NFSB should not be passed in its present form. A delay is worth it, if it
results in a food distribution system that reaches out to the needy. The
current model fails to do that, with leakages amounting to an estimated 43 per
cent of the food subsidy.
The NFSB does not come up with an alternative
delivery mechanism. Its flaws have been spelt out in an open letter by 25
economists to the Prime Minister, released a few days before the Budget. The
letter says that instead of splitting the population into ‘general', ‘priority'
and ‘excluded' households, as stated in the NFSB, it makes sense to have just
two types of households – ‘general', or those in the PDS, and those ‘excluded'
from it.
It says that general households should get
rice, wheat and coarse grain at Rs 3/kg, Rs 2/kg, and Re 1/kg, respectively.
This is against the Bill laying down two sets of prices for general (50 per
cent of minimum support price) and priority households (Rs 3, Rs 2 and Re 1),
respectively.
Grain entitlement can be fixed at 25 kg for
every PDS household, against 35 kg and 15 kg for the two types of households
proposed in the Bill. The food subsidy would be just a bit higher than the NFSB
estimate (roughly the same as the Budget outlay), despite providing for cheaper
grain to a larger number. The letter sets out a viable alternative. In effect,
it makes a case for scrapping the “targeted” PDS (TPDS) – a decade-old policy
of restricting PDS to the poor by identifying them. This led to exclusion of
the poor and diversion of grain.
The most important argument against TPDS is a
moral one – it is worse to exclude the poor than to include the better-off. As
a result of this, perhaps, half the population still remains malnourished.
We should set aside the TPDS in all its forms
(APL, BPL, general and priority) for a more “universal” system. This would
entail one set of prices for the majority of the population that will be under
the PDS umbrella, and exclusion of the well-off.
How to implement this? It should be easier to
keep out a minority with distinct markers of well-being, than to include a sea
of diverse, deserving people. The latter has demonstrably failed. While aadhaar
can help in exclusion, so can the Socio-Economic and Caste Census (SECC). SECC
is, ironically, being conducted to identify households other than the
conventional ‘poor' who need to be included.
But it is important not to lose sleep over how
the exclusion criteria will work. If the better-off use the PDS, it might
actually help the entire system to work better. All public services function
best when a cross-section of society uses them. The PDS works better in States
where the middle-class avails of it. Instead, there are more pressing issues at
hand. One needs to explore other ways to address the severe nutritional deficit
in the population. A revamped, decentralised PDS can at best address the need
for calories, but what about protein and micro-nutrient deficiencies? It is
here that food coupons can be tried out to supplement the PDS, with the SECC's
broad inclusion norms being used to identify the needy. Biometrics like smart
cards can be put to work. The National Institute of Nutrition can work out the per
capita requirements of pulses, to begin with, taking diverse agro-climatic
differences into account.
As for criticism over rising food subsidies on
this score, it should be dismissed with the contempt it deserves. Food
“subsidy” well spent is not a subsidy but an investment in human capital. Those
who speak of “demographic dividend” should know better.
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